Pakistani outage of power: Where is our nation going?

 Pakistani outage of power: Where is our nation going?

An investigation into the outage, which began around 7:30 a.m. and has lasted more than 16 hours during the peak winter season, has been ordered by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. The outage, which Energy Minister Khurram Dastagir claimed was caused by a voltage surge, is Pakistan's second major grid failure in three months and adds to the almost daily blackouts that the country's people endure.

The government's apparent effort to save energy ended up backfiring, leaving the majority of Pakistan without electricity. The outage caused panic and inquired about the government's cash-strapped approach to the country's economic crisis. The shaky government of PM Shehbaz Sharif attempted to explain the failure by claiming that it all started when technicians were unable to start up the system at once after the sun came up because electricity was turned off during low usage hours overnight to save fuel across the country. Similar to the massive blackout that occurred in January 2021, Pakistan's power generation and distribution system was blamed at the time for the outage.

Pakistan's outdated, inefficient, and grossly mismanaged power distribution system or other factors may have contributed to the two major power outages that occurred within two years.

Did the power outages serve as practice for something far more sinister?

During the first quarter of the 21st century, the kinetic dimension of warfare is rapidly being replaced by the non-kinetic dimension. Not that there was previously a lack of the non-kinetic aspect of warfare. However, it is currently taking over as the most common mode of conflict between nations. The cold war will eventually be followed by the hot war.

However, the raging conflict will continue to serve as a means of delivering the decisive blow on the battlefield. As a result, wars in the future will end before they begin. When the state is paralyzed by psychological warfare, Pakistan's enemies will only launch a military operation in this setting. The "soft" force, which includes diplomacy, the ability to impose both military and financial sanctions on the adversary, and cyber warfare, will also play a role in the order of battle between the competing armies if that is the case. In addition to the comparative strengths of the contestants and the dispositions of their formations and units, this will be the case if that is the case.

On April 11, 2021, the Iranian nuclear facility at Natanz experienced a blackout that appeared to have been caused by a deliberate explosion, damaging the electrical distribution grid. The Israel operation, code-named "Olympic Games," was a cyberattack that disabled nearly 1,000 Uranium enrichment centrifuges at Natanz during the Obama administration. This was the smoking gun. It was thought that the attack delayed Iran's efforts to enrich uranium for several months. Are Pakistan's nuclear assets susceptible to this? Based on Pakistan's presumption that it is a highly unstable state, a powerful lobby in the West pushes for the seizure of Pakistan's nuclear weapons. The United States, India, and Israel make up the anti-Pakistan lobby, which claims that Pakistan is an unstable nation at the center of global Jihadism. Out of approximately fifty Muslim nations, it is the only one to successfully develop nuclear weapons. As a result, it would make sense for a Jihadist group to look there for a nuclear weapon or fissile material. The argument made by this lobby is that Pakistan's central government has a hard time controlling all of itterritoriesry.

America and Israel may decide, based on their calculations on advice from India, that Pakistan's nuclear threat is as serious as Iran's threat at some point in the future. Together with Israel and India, America will take drastic action against Pakistan in such a scenario.

How will this kind of operation progress?

Pakistan's population relies on national networks, which are susceptible to disruption and manipulation due to the country's urbanization. Critical nodes in Iran's electricity, communications, transportation, military, and industrial systems will be destroyed by an EBO. This will stop all economic and government operations in Iran until the regime changes. The United States will simultaneously arm ethnic guerrillas (BLA, BRA, TTP, Jiye Sindh, etc.) and actively support them. to create autonomous regions across the nation.

The government will eventually fall apart when its apparatus and command and control are destroyed. For the benefit of the Americans, it is to be hoped that the new regime will be more accommodating and receptive to the United States' demand for nuclear agreements comparable to those with Gaddafi's Libya and Kazakhstan. In recent times, nuclear disarmament has only occurred when the countries in question willingly agreed to give up their WMDs.

However, in Pakistan, the political government and the military share power. The latter is also the keeper of Pakistan's nuclear assets, the Holy Grail. The Pakistan Army would most likely have decentralized its command and control structure as a result of the Gulf Wars. Perhaps this is why Pakistan employs an excessively large force—an entire Army corps—to protect its nuclear assets. This once more suggests that Pakistani and US forces will collaborate on a sprawling ground operation to seize Pakistan's nuclear weapons, something the Americans detest.